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Red157
540250.0
46160.3
23449.3
Blue112
672142.5
810328.5
765735.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17810250150200250157112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+33Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave3
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points26
37Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +25
14Coral scored#15
50Coral points53
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#1
24Processor points12
20Net points4
44Algae points16
94Total teleop69
Reef
5L4#6
6L3#8
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
157Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#5
60.30.2
55.955.7
Auto17.5
Teleop35.4
End7.4
red by 17.9
6721
#23
42.50.6
39.339.9
Auto7.2
Teleop29.7
End5.5
Second
5402
#12
50.00.2
53.253.0
Auto10.5
Teleop33.0
End6.5
red by 14.8
7657
#20
35.20.6
34.835.4
Auto8.8
Teleop24.8
End1.6
Third
234
#8
49.30.2
51.150.8
Auto14.4
Teleop26.4
End8.5
red by 20.8
8103
#25
28.50.6
28.829.4
Auto4.6
Teleop20.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
70%Coral oddsEarned24%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned