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Red178
348737.6
427278.5
13546.6
Blue123
219734.5
174738.9
44735.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17510650150200250178123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+49Teleop
+59Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave0
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points16
40Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +25
21Coral scored#15
74Coral points53
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
18Processor points18
20Net points16
38Algae points34
112Total teleop87
Reef
7L4#7
12L3#6
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points4
178Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.50.8
73.274.0
Auto18.8
Teleop49.0
End10.8
red by 39.7
1747
#16
38.90.2
40.841.0
Auto5.4
Teleop26.0
End7.5
Second
135
#13
46.60.8
40.441.2
Auto12.7
Teleop28.2
End5.7
red by 11.3
447
#34
35.30.2
28.728.9
Auto5.2
Teleop23.8
End6.3
Third
3487
#33
37.60.8
34.735.6
Auto7.0
Teleop29.1
End1.5
red by 3.0
2197
#30
34.50.2
32.032.1
Auto5.1
Teleop26.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned