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Red111
695635.1
501047.2
745441.9
Blue149
217127.5
82953.0
448545.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136134050100150200250300111149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+28
Fouls+38
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points17
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +22
14Coral scored#20
49Coral points71
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
67Total teleop89
Reef
7L4#8
6L3#7
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
8Foul points18
111Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5010
#11
47.21.1
43.141.9
Auto10.8
Teleop32.5
End4.0
blue by 5.8
829
#15
53.00.8
47.248.0
Auto10.5
Teleop36.4
End6.1
Second
7454
#26
41.91.1
41.640.4
Auto10.7
Teleop24.2
End7.0
blue by 3.3
4485
#31
45.20.8
44.845.7
Auto9.1
Teleop34.4
End1.6
Third
6956
#24
35.11.1
35.234.1
Auto7.3
Teleop25.1
End2.8
red by 7.6
2171
#38
27.50.8
26.727.5
Auto5.9
Teleop20.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned