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Red141
348737.6
540250.0
44735.3
Blue130
23449.3
765735.2
13546.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13214380100120160180200141130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+7Teleop
+9Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
5Coral scored#9
27Coral points44
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +21
13Coral scored#16
45Coral points56
3Processor algae#1
8Net algae#3
18Processor points6
32Net points12
50Algae points18
95Total teleop74
Reef
5L4#8
6L3#10
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
2Foul points0
141Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5402
#12
50.01.4
53.054.4
Auto10.5
Teleop33.0
End6.5
red by 0.7
234
#8
49.30.2
50.851.0
Auto14.4
Teleop26.4
End8.5
Second
3487
#33
37.61.4
35.637.0
Auto7.0
Teleop29.1
End1.5
blue by 9.1
135
#13
46.60.2
41.241.4
Auto12.7
Teleop28.2
End5.7
Third
447
#34
35.31.4
28.930.3
Auto5.2
Teleop23.8
End6.3
red by 0.2
7657
#20
35.20.2
35.435.5
Auto8.8
Teleop24.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed34%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsMissed