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Red185
219734.5
46160.3
150174.8
Blue169
394071.8
174738.9
492654.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168170100120140160180200220240185169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+4Teleop
+4Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
7Coral scored#7
37Coral points35
40Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +8
22Coral scored#20
79Coral points71
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
107Total teleop99
Reef
9L4#9
9L3#8
5L2#5
6L1 · trough#5
35Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
12Foul points0
185Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#19
74.81.0
69.970.9
Auto19.4
Teleop46.8
End8.6
red by 3.0
71.80.8
66.667.4
Auto21.2
Teleop44.1
End6.5
Second
461
#5
60.31.0
55.756.7
Auto17.5
Teleop35.4
End7.4
red by 6.4
4926
#14
54.00.8
49.149.9
Auto16.5
Teleop30.9
End6.6
Third
2197
#30
34.51.0
32.133.1
Auto5.1
Teleop26.7
End2.8
blue by 4.3
1747
#16
38.90.8
41.041.8
Auto5.4
Teleop26.0
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
54%Coral oddsMissed85%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned