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Qual 642025 FIRST Indiana State Championship
Red100
518839.4
548430.8
810328.5
Blue145
317651.6
695635.1
4552.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103147050200250100145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+25
Endgame+47
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +21
18Coral scored#23
66Coral points81
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
84Total teleop105
Reef
5L4#9
8L3#9
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
2Foul points0
100Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5188
#28
39.40.2
40.5→40.3
Auto11.7
Teleop25.3
End2.4
blue by 13.0
45
#7
52.41.0
46.9→47.9
Auto8.5
Teleop36.5
End7.5
Second
5484
#27
30.80.2
33.5→33.3
Auto5.3
Teleop25.8
End-0.3
blue by 20.8
3176
#22
51.61.0
49.2→50.2
Auto7.3
Teleop35.2
End9.1
Third
8103
#25
28.50.2
26.4→26.2
Auto4.6
Teleop20.7
End3.2
blue by 6.6
6956
#24
35.11.0
34.1→35.1
Auto7.3
Teleop25.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
50%Coral oddsMissed52%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned