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Red140
761758.4
672142.5
101832.8
Blue82
1033217.5
1049229.8
745441.9
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1518505010020025014082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+34Teleop
+42Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points19
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +44
13Coral scored#9
45Coral points33
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
18Processor points6
28Net points8
46Algae points14
91Total teleop47
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#16
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
16Foul points0
140Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.40.5
59.358.9
Auto14.1
Teleop39.0
End5.3
red by 16.6
7454
#26
41.90.3
40.440.1
Auto10.7
Teleop24.2
End7.0
Second
6721
#23
42.50.5
39.639.1
Auto7.2
Teleop29.7
End5.5
red by 12.7
29.80.3
29.128.7
Auto6.0
Teleop20.3
End3.5
Third
1018
#36
32.80.5
31.931.4
Auto3.2
Teleop23.4
End6.2
red by 15.3
17.50.3
17.717.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned