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Red85
843022.4
348737.6
32837.1
Blue157
448545.2
1002146.0
174160.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1312045010015025030085157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+70
Endgame+72
Fouls+72
AutonomousBlue +28
6Leave9
1Coral scored#6
3Coral points28
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +42
15Coral scored#25
54Coral points90
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
12Processor points6
8Net points20
20Algae points26
74Total teleop116
Reef
6L4#8
6L3#9
2L2#7
2L1 · trough#7
20Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +72
0Foul points0
85Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3487
#33
37.62.8
37.034.2
Auto7.0
Teleop29.1
End1.5
blue by 22.6
60.21.5
64.162.7
Auto18.0
Teleop38.7
End3.5
Second
328
#35
37.12.8
39.837.0
Auto3.1
Teleop32.9
End1.0
blue by 8.9
46.01.5
45.143.6
Auto8.4
Teleop37.8
End-0.2
Third
8430
#29
22.42.8
23.821.0
Auto5.0
Teleop15.4
End2.0
blue by 22.7
4485
#31
45.21.5
45.744.2
Auto9.1
Teleop34.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed85%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed