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Red237
745794.3
86888.0
317651.6
Blue160
427278.5
219734.5
23449.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions237158100200250300350237160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+75Teleop
+85Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave9
11Coral scored#6
56Coral points28
65Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +47
27Coral scored#16
98Coral points57
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
18Processor points12
20Net points20
38Algae points32
136Total teleop89
Reef
14L4#9
8L3#6
10L2#3
6L1 · trough#4
46Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +77
0Foul points8
237Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.30.9
89.490.3
Auto23.2
Teleop61.6
End9.5
red by 15.8
78.50.4
73.773.3
Auto18.8
Teleop49.0
End10.8
Second
868
#2
88.00.9
83.584.5
Auto21.9
Teleop53.6
End12.5
red by 38.6
234
#8
49.30.4
51.050.6
Auto14.4
Teleop26.4
End8.5
Third
3176
#22
51.60.9
50.251.1
Auto7.3
Teleop35.2
End9.1
red by 17.1
2197
#30
34.50.4
33.132.8
Auto5.1
Teleop26.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned70%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned