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Qual 692025 FIRST Indiana State Championship
Red112
174738.9
540250.0
29241.2
Blue147
518839.4
394071.8
501047.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14315880100120180200220112147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+35
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points31
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +28
12Coral scored#18
44Coral points64
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
68Total teleop96
Reef
7L4#10
6L3#7
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
112Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5402
#12
50.01.7
54.4→52.8
Auto10.5
Teleop33.0
End6.5
blue by 21.8
3940
#4
71.80.2
67.4→67.3
Auto21.2
Teleop44.1
End6.5
Second
292
#17
41.21.7
40.5→38.9
Auto10.8
Teleop28.0
End2.4
blue by 6.0
5010
#11
47.20.2
41.9→41.8
Auto10.8
Teleop32.5
End4.0
Third
1747
#16
38.91.7
41.8→40.1
Auto5.4
Teleop26.0
End7.5
blue by 0.5
5188
#28
39.40.2
40.3→40.1
Auto11.7
Teleop25.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
43%Coral oddsMissed78%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned