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Red153
46160.3
765735.2
32837.1
Blue128
82953.0
102445.3
1033217.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172137100150200250153128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+33Teleop
+23Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points13
33Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +19
21Coral scored#14
76Coral points51
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#5
18Processor points24
20Net points20
38Algae points44
114Total teleop95
Reef
13L4#6
6L3#7
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
2Foul points0
153Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#5
60.30.1
56.756.8
Auto17.5
Teleop35.4
End7.4
red by 7.3
829
#15
53.00.2
48.048.1
Auto10.5
Teleop36.4
End6.1
Second
328
#35
37.10.1
37.037.1
Auto3.1
Teleop32.9
End1.0
blue by 8.3
1024
#18
45.30.2
42.342.5
Auto8.1
Teleop30.6
End6.6
Third
7657
#20
35.20.1
35.535.6
Auto8.8
Teleop24.8
End1.6
red by 17.7
17.50.2
17.317.5
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsEarned40%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned