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Qual 712025 FIRST Indiana State Championship
Red126
44735.3
695635.1
672142.5
Blue155
1002146.0
348737.6
1049229.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11811990100110130140150160126155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+31
Endgame+17
Fouls+29
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +38
19Coral scored#28
69Coral points99
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
6Processor points6
12Net points20
18Algae points26
87Total teleop125
Reef
7L4#11
7L3#9
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#35
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points12
126Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6721
#23
42.50.0
39.1→39.2
Auto7.2
Teleop29.7
End5.5
blue by 3.5
10021
#32
46.01.1
43.6→44.7
Auto8.4
Teleop37.8
End-0.2
Second
447
#34
35.30.0
33.2→33.2
Auto5.2
Teleop23.8
End6.3
blue by 2.2
3487
#33
37.61.1
34.2→35.3
Auto7.0
Teleop29.1
End1.5
Third
6956
#24
35.10.0
35.1→35.1
Auto7.3
Teleop25.1
End2.8
red by 5.3
10492
#21
29.81.1
28.7→29.8
Auto6.0
Teleop20.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsEarned56%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed