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Red201
810328.5
492654.0
745794.3
Blue184
86888.0
745441.9
219734.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178168100150200250201184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+19Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave3
11Coral scored#5
54Coral points27
54Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +5
17Coral scored#25
61Coral points90
5Processor algae#3
8Net algae#5
30Processor points18
32Net points20
62Algae points38
123Total teleop128
Reef
10L4#10
5L3#9
7L2#6
6L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
201Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.32.3
90.392.6
Auto23.2
Teleop61.6
End9.5
red by 6.3
868
#2
88.01.8
84.586.2
Auto21.9
Teleop53.6
End12.5
Second
4926
#14
54.02.3
50.452.7
Auto16.5
Teleop30.9
End6.6
red by 12.1
7454
#26
41.91.8
40.141.9
Auto10.7
Teleop24.2
End7.0
Third
8103
#25
28.52.3
26.228.5
Auto4.6
Teleop20.7
End3.2
blue by 6.0
2197
#30
34.51.8
32.834.5
Auto5.1
Teleop26.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
71%Coral oddsEarned57%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned