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Red227
745794.3
349464.6
150174.8
Blue163
29241.2
101832.8
174160.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21512550100150200250300227163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+52Teleop
+64Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave6
4Coral scored#7
21Coral points34
30Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +62
33Coral scored#20
119Coral points73
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#2
18Processor points18
24Net points8
42Algae points26
161Total teleop99
Reef
14L4#7
10L3#8
8L2#7
5L1 · trough#5
46Game pieces#32
BargeRed +12
36Cage & park24
36Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points0
227Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.32.1
70.873.0
Auto23.2
Teleop61.6
End9.5
red by 34.1
60.22.2
57.159.3
Auto18.0
Teleop38.7
End3.5
Second
1501
#19
74.82.1
66.868.9
Auto19.4
Teleop46.8
End8.6
red by 33.5
292
#17
41.22.2
42.244.4
Auto10.8
Teleop28.0
End2.4
Third
3494
#10
64.62.1
57.659.7
Auto10.8
Teleop43.3
End10.5
red by 31.8
1018
#36
32.82.2
30.833.0
Auto3.2
Teleop23.4
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
86%Coral oddsEarned24%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsEarned