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Qual 62025 FIRST Indiana State Championship
Red140
394071.8
219734.5
765735.2
Blue135
672142.5
13546.6
4552.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12011790100110130140150160140135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+15Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave3
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points13
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +6
15Coral scored#17
53Coral points61
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
18Processor points12
16Net points20
34Algae points32
87Total teleop93
Reef
7L4#4
6L3#8
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
140Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#4
71.81.7
60.4→62.2
Auto21.2
Teleop44.1
End6.5
red by 19.4
45
#7
52.41.7
40.4→42.1
Auto8.5
Teleop36.5
End7.5
Second
7657
#20
35.21.7
29.9→31.7
Auto8.8
Teleop24.8
End1.6
blue by 11.5
135
#13
46.61.7
33.7→35.5
Auto12.7
Teleop28.2
End5.7
Third
2197
#30
34.51.7
23.9→25.6
Auto5.1
Teleop26.7
End2.8
blue by 7.9
6721
#23
42.51.7
34.8→36.6
Auto7.2
Teleop29.7
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned