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Red140
82953.0
29241.2
843022.4
Blue165
46160.3
101832.8
13546.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112147050100200140165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+23
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave9
4Coral scored#7
20Coral points35
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +2
24Coral scored#23
85Coral points81
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
113Total teleop115
Reef
13L4#12
5L3#8
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
140Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#15
53.01.4
48.149.5
Auto10.5
Teleop36.4
End6.1
blue by 7.3
461
#5
60.31.4
56.858.2
Auto17.5
Teleop35.4
End7.4
Second
292
#17
41.21.4
38.940.3
Auto10.8
Teleop28.0
End2.4
blue by 5.4
135
#13
46.61.4
44.245.7
Auto12.7
Teleop28.2
End5.7
Third
8430
#29
22.41.4
21.022.4
Auto5.0
Teleop15.4
End2.0
blue by 10.4
1018
#36
32.81.4
31.432.8
Auto3.2
Teleop23.4
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsEarned40%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsMissed