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Red118
761758.4
174160.2
540250.0
Blue212
427278.5
349464.6
501047.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179189100150200250118212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+76
Endgame+88
Fouls+94
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
5Coral scored#8
27Coral points40
30Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +66
18Coral scored#33
64Coral points120
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
74Total teleop140
Reef
10L4#17
5L3#9
5L2#7
3L1 · trough#8
25Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +94
0Foul points6
118Total score212

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.23.8
62.758.9
Auto18.0
Teleop38.7
End3.5
blue by 18.4
78.52.0
73.375.2
Auto18.8
Teleop49.0
End10.8
Second
58.43.8
58.955.1
Auto14.1
Teleop39.0
End5.3
blue by 6.2
3494
#10
64.62.0
61.463.4
Auto10.8
Teleop43.3
End10.5
Third
5402
#12
50.03.8
52.849.0
Auto10.5
Teleop33.0
End6.5
red by 2.8
5010
#11
47.22.0
41.843.7
Auto10.8
Teleop32.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
79%Coral oddsMissed92%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned