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Red205
44735.3
150174.8
46160.3
Blue149
501047.2
448545.2
82953.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18315450100200250300205149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+48Teleop
+68Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
8Coral scored#6
38Coral points28
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +41
23Coral scored#20
81Coral points72
3Processor algae#1
9Net algae#4
18Processor points6
36Net points16
54Algae points22
135Total teleop94
Reef
11L4#10
9L3#7
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#31
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points12
205Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#19
74.80.9
73.474.2
Auto19.4
Teleop46.8
End8.6
red by 21.7
829
#15
53.00.2
53.253.0
Auto10.5
Teleop36.4
End6.1
Second
461
#5
60.30.9
58.959.8
Auto17.5
Teleop35.4
End7.4
red by 13.1
5010
#11
47.20.2
47.447.2
Auto10.8
Teleop32.5
End4.0
Third
447
#34
35.30.9
33.934.8
Auto5.2
Teleop23.8
End6.3
blue by 9.8
4485
#31
45.20.2
45.445.2
Auto9.1
Teleop34.4
End1.6