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Red258
745794.3
348737.6
86888.0
Blue193
427278.5
394071.8
672142.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230192150250300258193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+39Teleop
+47Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave3
10Coral scored#10
52Coral points48
61Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +29
31Coral scored#25
111Coral points90
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
24Processor points12
20Net points24
44Algae points36
155Total teleop126
Reef
14L4#12
16L3#11
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#8
50Game pieces#43
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +65
18Foul points0
258Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.30.4
92.893.2
Auto23.2
Teleop61.6
End9.5
red by 15.8
78.50.0
76.476.4
Auto18.8
Teleop49.0
End10.8
Second
868
#2
88.00.4
86.586.9
Auto21.9
Teleop53.6
End12.5
red by 16.2
71.80.0
69.669.7
Auto21.2
Teleop44.1
End6.5
Third
3487
#33
37.60.4
36.136.5
Auto7.0
Teleop29.1
End1.5
blue by 4.9
6721
#23
42.50.0
40.340.4
Auto7.2
Teleop29.7
End5.5