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Red215
44735.3
150174.8
46160.3
Blue205
102445.3
4552.4
761758.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17716250100150200250215205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+8Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
10Coral scored#9
51Coral points45
51Total auto48
TeleoperatedRed +5
27Coral scored#30
96Coral points109
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
18Processor points12
24Net points12
42Algae points24
138Total teleop133
Reef
10L4#16
13L3#10
8L2#6
6L1 · trough#7
46Game pieces#44
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
215Total score205

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#19
74.81.2
72.273.4
Auto19.4
Teleop46.8
End8.6
red by 16.3
58.41.2
57.358.4
Auto14.1
Teleop39.0
End5.3
Second
461
#5
60.31.2
57.858.9
Auto17.5
Teleop35.4
End7.4
red by 7.9
45
#7
52.41.2
51.352.4
Auto8.5
Teleop36.5
End7.5
Third
447
#34
35.31.2
32.833.9
Auto5.2
Teleop23.8
End6.3
blue by 10.0
1024
#18
45.31.2
44.245.3
Auto8.1
Teleop30.6
End6.6