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Red186
349464.6
174160.2
1002146.0
Blue191
501047.2
448545.2
82953.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184151100200250186191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+3
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +2
9Leave6
7Coral scored#8
37Coral points38
46Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +5
16Coral scored#21
58Coral points75
3Processor algae#3
12Net algae#9
18Processor points18
48Net points36
66Algae points54
124Total teleop129
Reef
8L4#9
7L3#10
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#41
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points2
186Total score191

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3494
#10
64.60.4
64.364.6
Auto10.8
Teleop43.3
End10.5
red by 11.6
829
#15
53.01.0
52.253.2
Auto10.5
Teleop36.4
End6.1
Second
60.20.4
59.860.2
Auto18.0
Teleop38.7
End3.5
red by 12.9
5010
#11
47.21.0
46.447.4
Auto10.8
Teleop32.5
End4.0
Third
46.00.4
45.646.0
Auto8.4
Teleop37.8
End-0.2
red by 0.8
4485
#31
45.21.0
44.345.4
Auto9.1
Teleop34.4
End1.6