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Red208
427278.5
394071.8
672142.5
Blue120
44735.3
150174.8
46160.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197172120140160180220240260208120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+80Teleop
+90Endgame
+88Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
12Coral scored#10
58Coral points48
58Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +73
26Coral scored#6
94Coral points23
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
114Total teleop41
Reef
13L4#7
11L3#5
11L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +88
0Foul points2
208Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.50.5
75.976.4
Auto18.8
Teleop49.0
End10.8
red by 3.8
1501
#19
74.81.1
73.372.2
Auto19.4
Teleop46.8
End8.6
Second
71.80.5
69.169.6
Auto21.2
Teleop44.1
End6.5
red by 11.4
461
#5
60.31.1
58.957.8
Auto17.5
Teleop35.4
End7.4
Third
6721
#23
42.50.5
39.840.3
Auto7.2
Teleop29.7
End5.5
red by 7.1
447
#34
35.31.1
33.832.8
Auto5.2
Teleop23.8
End6.3