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Red196
745794.3
174738.9
86888.0
Blue181
349464.6
174160.2
1002146.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239170100150200300196181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+17Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
3Leave3
10Coral scored#9
48Coral points43
51Total auto46
TeleoperatedRed +12
22Coral scored#22
79Coral points79
4Processor algae#4
7Net algae#4
24Processor points24
28Net points16
52Algae points40
131Total teleop119
Reef
14L4#15
7L3#9
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
196Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.30.5
93.392.8
Auto23.2
Teleop61.6
End9.5
red by 29.7
3494
#10
64.60.3
64.064.3
Auto10.8
Teleop43.3
End10.5
Second
868
#2
88.00.5
87.086.5
Auto21.9
Teleop53.6
End12.5
red by 27.8
60.20.3
59.659.8
Auto18.0
Teleop38.7
End3.5
Third
1747
#16
38.90.5
39.438.9
Auto5.4
Teleop26.0
End7.5
blue by 7.1
46.00.3
45.445.6
Auto8.4
Teleop37.8
End-0.2