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Red202
501047.2
448545.2
82953.0
Blue180
23449.3
317651.6
492654.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14716650100200250202180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+24Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
7Coral scored#6
34Coral points31
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +24
33Coral scored#26
119Coral points93
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
141Total teleop117
Reef
18L4#14
8L3#9
9L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
45Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
202Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#15
53.01.4
50.852.2
Auto10.5
Teleop36.4
End6.1
blue by 0.9
4926
#14
54.00.6
53.454.0
Auto16.5
Teleop30.9
End6.6
Second
5010
#11
47.21.4
45.046.4
Auto10.8
Teleop32.5
End4.0
blue by 4.3
3176
#22
51.60.6
51.051.6
Auto7.3
Teleop35.2
End9.1
Third
4485
#31
45.21.4
42.944.3
Auto9.1
Teleop34.4
End1.6
blue by 4.2
234
#8
49.30.6
48.849.3
Auto14.4
Teleop26.4
End8.5