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Red146
13546.6
29241.2
540250.0
Blue199
102445.3
4552.4
761758.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14516350100200250146199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+63
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +15
0Leave6
5Coral scored#7
26Coral points35
26Total auto41
TeleoperatedBlue +48
19Coral scored#25
70Coral points90
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#10
12Processor points12
12Net points40
24Algae points52
94Total teleop142
Reef
5L4#11
9L3#10
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#6
29Game pieces#44
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points0
146Total score199

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5402
#12
50.00.2
49.850.0
Auto10.5
Teleop33.0
End6.5
blue by 8.4
58.41.1
56.257.3
Auto14.1
Teleop39.0
End5.3
Second
135
#13
46.60.2
46.546.6
Auto12.7
Teleop28.2
End5.7
blue by 5.8
45
#7
52.41.1
50.251.3
Auto8.5
Teleop36.5
End7.5
Third
292
#17
41.20.2
41.141.2
Auto10.8
Teleop28.0
End2.4
blue by 4.1
1024
#18
45.31.1
43.144.2
Auto8.1
Teleop30.6
End6.6