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Red196
349464.6
174160.2
1002146.0
Blue194
102445.3
4552.4
761758.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181156100200250196194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+12Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave3
8Coral scored#9
39Coral points45
39Total auto48
TeleoperatedRed +21
28Coral scored#21
99Coral points76
3Processor algae#4
6Net algae#5
18Processor points24
24Net points20
42Algae points44
141Total teleop120
Reef
11L4#13
12L3#9
9L2#6
4L1 · trough#2
45Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
196Total score194

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3494
#10
64.60.6
63.464.0
Auto10.8
Teleop43.3
End10.5
red by 6.2
58.41.1
55.156.2
Auto14.1
Teleop39.0
End5.3
Second
60.20.6
58.959.6
Auto18.0
Teleop38.7
End3.5
red by 7.8
45
#7
52.41.1
49.150.2
Auto8.5
Teleop36.5
End7.5
Third
46.00.6
44.745.4
Auto8.4
Teleop37.8
End-0.2
red by 0.7
1024
#18
45.31.1
42.043.1
Auto8.1
Teleop30.6
End6.6