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Red227
427278.5
394071.8
672142.5
Blue196
501047.2
448545.2
82953.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202137100150250227196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+7Teleop
+19Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave3
10Coral scored#7
48Coral points37
51Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +4
19Coral scored#27
70Coral points98
6Processor algae#4
8Net algae#5
36Processor points24
32Net points20
68Algae points44
138Total teleop142
Reef
13L4#13
5L3#9
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#7
43Game pieces#43
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +31
12Foul points0
227Total score196

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.50.7
75.275.9
Auto18.8
Teleop49.0
End10.8
red by 25.5
829
#15
53.01.3
49.550.8
Auto10.5
Teleop36.4
End6.1
Second
71.80.7
68.569.1
Auto21.2
Teleop44.1
End6.5
red by 24.5
5010
#11
47.21.3
43.745.0
Auto10.8
Teleop32.5
End4.0
Third
6721
#23
42.50.7
39.239.8
Auto7.2
Teleop29.7
End5.5
blue by 2.7
4485
#31
45.21.3
41.642.9
Auto9.1
Teleop34.4
End1.6