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Red161
810324.2
86853.3
150160.5
Blue79
4540.4
174153.7
945314.4
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1501135010020016179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+48Teleop
+72Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
6Coral scored#6
31Coral points30
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +41
16Coral scored#10
58Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
90Total teleop49
Reef
9L4#7
4L3#3
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#19
BargeRed +24
24Cage & park0
24Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +82
10Foul points0
161Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.50.4
59.459.7
Auto15.1
Teleop36.9
End8.5
red by 6.8
53.70.7
53.753.1
Auto14.8
Teleop35.5
End3.3
Second
868
#5
53.30.4
52.152.5
Auto10.9
Teleop35.8
End6.6
red by 12.9
45
#4
40.40.7
40.539.8
Auto7.2
Teleop27.9
End5.3
Third
8103
#23
24.20.4
23.123.4
Auto3.5
Teleop17.1
End3.6
red by 9.8
9453
#31
14.40.7
14.513.8
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End1.4