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Red124
4540.4
174153.7
945314.4
Blue113
695621.6
427249.4
394049.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112129050150200250124113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +4
18Coral scored#13
66Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
76Total teleop72
Reef
5L4#8
8L3#4
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +11
6Foul points2
124Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.70.2
53.553.7
Auto14.8
Teleop35.5
End3.3
red by 4.0
49.60.2
49.949.6
Auto11.8
Teleop31.8
End6.0
Second
45
#4
40.40.2
40.340.5
Auto7.2
Teleop27.9
End5.3
blue by 9.0
49.40.2
49.649.4
Auto12.5
Teleop30.9
End6.0
Third
9453
#31
14.40.2
14.314.5
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End1.4
blue by 7.2
6956
#25
21.60.2
21.821.6
Auto2.0
Teleop16.5
End3.2