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Red127
695621.6
427249.4
394049.6
Blue82
349447.6
1002133.6
217120.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132110608010012014016018020012782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+49Teleop
+49Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
9Leave6
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points19
23Total auto25
TeleoperatedRed +51
17Coral scored#6
60Coral points23
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
82Total teleop31
Reef
9L4#4
6L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +45
8Foul points12
127Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.60.1
49.949.9
Auto11.8
Teleop31.8
End6.0
red by 2.1
47.60.8
48.347.6
Auto7.7
Teleop33.0
End6.8
Second
49.40.1
49.749.6
Auto12.5
Teleop30.9
End6.0
red by 15.8
33.60.8
34.333.6
Auto6.8
Teleop25.8
End0.9
Third
6956
#25
21.60.1
21.921.8
Auto2.0
Teleop16.5
End3.2
red by 1.1
2171
#26
20.60.8
21.320.6
Auto5.1
Teleop13.6
End1.8