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Red178
810324.2
86853.3
150160.5
Blue131
4540.4
174153.7
945314.4
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1491116080100120140160180200220178131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+13Teleop
+31Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave9
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points27
37Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +12
20Coral scored#18
71Coral points65
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
99Total teleop87
Reef
9L4#12
7L3#4
7L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#28
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +47
18Foul points2
178Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.50.6
58.759.4
Auto15.1
Teleop36.9
End8.5
red by 6.8
53.70.5
53.053.5
Auto14.8
Teleop35.5
End3.3
Second
868
#5
53.30.6
51.552.1
Auto10.9
Teleop35.8
End6.6
red by 12.9
45
#4
40.40.5
39.840.3
Auto7.2
Teleop27.9
End5.3
Third
8103
#23
24.20.6
22.523.1
Auto3.5
Teleop17.1
End3.6
red by 9.8
9453
#31
14.40.5
13.814.3
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End1.4