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Red122
695621.6
427249.4
394049.6
Blue86
501034.6
1033219.7
548427.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133785010015020012286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+24Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave9
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points14
34Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +13
14Coral scored#10
52Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
6Processor points6
16Net points20
22Algae points26
74Total teleop61
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#5
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
122Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.60.0
49.949.9
Auto11.8
Teleop31.8
End6.0
red by 15.0
5010
#18
34.60.1
34.534.6
Auto6.9
Teleop23.1
End4.6
Second
49.40.0
49.749.7
Auto12.5
Teleop30.9
End6.0
red by 22.2
27.20.1
27.127.2
Auto5.9
Teleop21.1
End0.1
Third
6956
#25
21.60.0
21.921.9
Auto2.0
Teleop16.5
End3.2
red by 1.9
19.70.1
19.619.7
Auto5.2
Teleop11.6
End2.9