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Red104
349447.6
1002133.6
217120.6
Blue81
172023.7
174728.7
843020.4
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121755010015020010481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+21Teleop
+9Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave3
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points12
28Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +8
9Coral scored#8
34Coral points28
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
48Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +23
14Foul points0
104Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.60.3
48.648.3
Auto7.7
Teleop33.0
End6.8
red by 18.9
1747
#13
28.70.2
28.528.7
Auto2.9
Teleop19.7
End6.0
Second
33.60.3
34.734.3
Auto6.8
Teleop25.8
End0.9
red by 9.9
1720
#27
23.70.2
23.523.7
Auto3.9
Teleop16.7
End3.0
Third
2171
#26
20.60.3
21.621.3
Auto5.1
Teleop13.6
End1.8
red by 0.2
20.40.2
20.220.4
Auto6.0
Teleop11.1
End3.3