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Red99
810324.2
4540.4
548427.2
Blue37
945314.4
29220.7
348714.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions618201001502002509937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+48Teleop
+62Endgame
+62Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +48
12Coral scored#6
44Coral points20
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
12Processor points0
20Net points8
32Algae points8
76Total teleop28
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#10
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points0
99Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
#4
40.42.4
21.824.2
Auto7.2
Teleop27.9
End5.3
red by 19.7
292
#19
20.74.5
33.829.3
Auto4.6
Teleop12.9
End3.2
Second
27.22.4
24.226.6
Auto5.9
Teleop21.1
End0.1
red by 12.7
3487
#36
14.44.5
28.423.9
Auto3.1
Teleop11.8
End-0.4
Third
8103
#23
24.22.7
12.014.6
Auto3.5
Teleop17.1
End3.6
red by 9.8
9453
#31
14.43.0
9.06.0
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed