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Red43
719819.5
355910.4
101821.8
Blue74
745434.0
856417.7
23438.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69920204060801001201401604374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+35
Endgame+37
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
3Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +18
5Coral scored#11
18Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
30Total teleop48
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
6Foul points0
43Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1018
#17
21.82.8
25.022.2
Auto4.1
Teleop13.5
End4.2
blue by 16.4
234
#10
38.30.5
30.029.6
Auto5.3
Teleop29.6
End3.4
Second
7198
#29
19.52.8
19.216.3
Auto2.2
Teleop12.8
End4.5
blue by 14.5
7454
#11
34.00.5
28.127.7
Auto7.5
Teleop20.2
End6.3
Third
3559
#35
10.42.8
18.315.4
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End2.7
blue by 7.3
8564
#12
17.70.5
20.119.6
Auto4.3
Teleop10.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed