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Red86
501034.6
1002133.6
172023.7
Blue93
150160.5
843020.4
349447.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions841200501001502008693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+3Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +13
15Coral scored#12
53Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
73Total teleop60
Reef
4L4#6
6L3#4
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
86Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5010
#18
34.60.4
35.736.1
Auto6.9
Teleop23.1
End4.6
blue by 25.9
60.50.9
49.548.6
Auto15.1
Teleop36.9
End8.5
Second
33.631.1
49.618.5
Auto6.8
Teleop25.8
End0.9
blue by 14.0
47.61.4
29.928.6
Auto7.7
Teleop33.0
End6.8
Third
1720
#27
23.70.7
23.724.3
Auto3.9
Teleop16.7
End3.0
red by 3.3
20.41.4
23.021.7
Auto6.0
Teleop11.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned