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Red32
695621.6
458012.8
400817.2
Blue74
843115.5
498211.8
394049.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions648320401001203274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+30
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points14
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +19
5Coral scored#6
17Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
21Total teleop40
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points0
32Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6956
#25
21.63.0
23.820.8
Auto2.0
Teleop16.5
End3.2
blue by 28.0
49.60.2
34.234.4
Auto11.8
Teleop31.8
End6.0
Second
4008
#40
17.23.0
16.713.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End2.2
red by 1.8
8431
#37
15.50.1
11.711.8
Auto3.7
Teleop10.9
End0.9
Third
4580
#34
12.83.0
18.515.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End2.5
red by 1.0
4982
#32
11.80.2
26.226.4
Auto1.8
Teleop8.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned