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Red71
843020.4
501034.6
811617.0
Blue33
155515.6
548427.2
101821.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8058020401001201407133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+20Teleop
+32Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave9
4Coral scored#0
19Coral points0
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
6Coral scored#6
20Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
30Total teleop20
Reef
2L4#2
3L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#6
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
6Foul points0
71Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5010
#18
34.60.3
36.135.8
Auto6.9
Teleop23.1
End4.6
red by 7.4
27.21.3
26.425.0
Auto5.9
Teleop21.1
End0.1
Second
20.40.6
18.117.6
Auto6.0
Teleop11.1
End3.3
blue by 1.4
1018
#17
21.82.2
16.213.9
Auto4.1
Teleop13.5
End4.2
Third
8116
#20
17.00.6
15.915.3
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End3.3
red by 1.3
1555
#28
15.61.3
10.59.2
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed