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Red96
843115.5
856417.7
174153.7
Blue128
4540.4
874222.1
86853.3
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68882040608010012014096128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+28
Endgame+28
Fouls+32
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
4Coral scored#3
18Coral points17
27Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +32
14Coral scored#19
51Coral points69
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
65Total teleop97
Reef
7L4#10
5L3#4
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points4
96Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.73.2
33.536.6
Auto14.8
Teleop35.5
End3.3
red by 0.4
868
#5
53.34.6
35.440.1
Auto10.9
Teleop35.8
End6.6
Second
8564
#12
17.73.2
19.622.8
Auto4.3
Teleop10.3
End3.0
blue by 22.7
45
#4
40.42.8
24.226.9
Auto7.2
Teleop27.9
End5.3
Third
8431
#37
15.51.9
11.813.7
Auto3.7
Teleop10.9
End0.9
blue by 6.6
8742
#22
22.14.6
19.624.3
Auto4.6
Teleop13.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsMissed