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Red72
1033219.7
427249.4
355910.4
Blue52
217120.6
979016.6
174728.7
52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726401001502002503003507252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+32Teleop
+30Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +28
10Coral scored#4
37Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
45Total teleop17
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points10
72Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.40.7
32.833.4
Auto12.5
Teleop30.9
End6.0
red by 20.7
1747
#13
28.72.0
32.730.8
Auto2.9
Teleop19.7
End6.0
Second
19.70.4
17.918.3
Auto5.2
Teleop11.6
End2.9
blue by 0.8
2171
#26
20.61.2
14.112.9
Auto5.1
Teleop13.6
End1.8
Third
3559
#35
10.40.7
15.416.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End2.7
blue by 6.2
9790
#24
16.62.0
12.710.8
Auto2.3
Teleop12.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned