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Red88
15299.9
23438.3
394049.6
Blue63
745434.0
349447.6
518817.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9085506070801001101208863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
6Leave0
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
23Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +5
8Coral scored#9
29Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
51Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
88Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.60.6
34.435.0
Auto11.8
Teleop31.8
End6.0
red by 2.1
47.61.9
28.626.7
Auto7.7
Teleop33.0
End6.8
Second
234
#10
38.30.6
29.630.1
Auto5.3
Teleop29.6
End3.4
red by 4.3
7454
#11
34.01.9
27.725.8
Auto7.5
Teleop20.2
End6.3
Third
1529
#30
9.90.6
16.116.7
Auto2.6
Teleop6.5
End0.7
blue by 8.0
5188
#33
17.91.9
20.818.9
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned