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Red22
7115.0
695621.6
348714.4
Blue47
448528.8
811617.0
172023.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76712040601001202247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+25
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +25
1Coral scored#7
5Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
9Total teleop34
Reef
1L4#2
0L3#3
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
22Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6956
#25
21.65.1
20.815.7
Auto2.0
Teleop16.5
End3.2
blue by 7.2
4485
#21
28.81.9
22.420.4
Auto5.4
Teleop22.7
End0.7
Second
71
#38
15.05.1
23.218.1
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End1.5
blue by 8.6
1720
#27
23.71.9
24.322.4
Auto3.9
Teleop16.7
End3.0
Third
3487
#36
14.45.1
23.918.8
Auto3.1
Teleop11.8
End-0.4
blue by 2.5
8116
#20
17.01.9
17.815.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed