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Red107
949121.5
150160.5
1002133.6
Blue25
101821.8
649816.6
498211.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1037920406012014016010725

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+74Teleop
+82Endgame
+82Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +74
17Coral scored#2
62Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
6Processor points0
16Net points4
22Algae points4
84Total teleop10
Reef
6L4#1
6L3#1
3L2#0
4L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#4
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +82
0Foul points0
107Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.50.7
48.649.3
Auto15.1
Teleop36.9
End8.5
red by 38.7
1018
#17
21.86.0
22.216.2
Auto4.1
Teleop13.5
End4.2
Second
33.61.2
18.519.7
Auto6.8
Teleop25.8
End0.9
red by 17.0
6498
#39
16.66.0
25.619.5
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End2.6
Third
9491
#14
21.51.2
23.124.3
Auto5.6
Teleop13.2
End2.7
red by 9.7
4982
#32
11.86.0
26.420.4
Auto1.8
Teleop8.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsMissed