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Red86
174728.7
349447.6
719819.5
Blue56
217120.6
949121.5
15299.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8057020401001201408656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+20Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
10Coral scored#8
37Coral points27
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
67Total teleop41
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
86Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.61.2
26.727.8
Auto7.7
Teleop33.0
End6.8
red by 26.1
9491
#14
21.50.4
24.323.9
Auto5.6
Teleop13.2
End2.7
Second
1747
#13
28.71.2
30.831.9
Auto2.9
Teleop19.7
End6.0
red by 8.1
2171
#26
20.60.3
12.912.7
Auto5.1
Teleop13.6
End1.8
Third
7198
#29
19.51.2
12.814.0
Auto2.2
Teleop12.8
End4.5
red by 9.6
1529
#30
9.90.4
16.716.3
Auto2.6
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed