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Red57
174153.7
945314.4
745434.0
Blue64
874222.1
348714.4
394049.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74890501001502005764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+11
Endgame+1
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +4
6Coral scored#6
23Coral points21
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
27Total teleop31
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points6
57Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.71.5
36.635.1
Auto14.8
Teleop35.5
End3.3
red by 4.0
49.62.6
35.032.4
Auto11.8
Teleop31.8
End6.0
Second
7454
#11
34.01.5
25.824.3
Auto7.5
Teleop20.2
End6.3
red by 11.9
8742
#22
22.12.6
24.321.7
Auto4.6
Teleop13.9
End3.6
Third
9453
#31
14.40.9
5.54.6
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End1.4
blue by 0.1
3487
#36
14.42.6
18.816.2
Auto3.1
Teleop11.8
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed