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Red84
15299.9
810324.2
349447.6
Blue80
355910.4
4540.4
7115.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6361405070808480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+4
Endgame+4
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
12Total auto16
Teleoperatedlevel
9Coral scored#9
34Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
48Total teleop48
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
8Foul points0
84Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.61.4
27.829.2
Auto7.7
Teleop33.0
End6.8
red by 7.2
45
#4
40.41.2
28.930.1
Auto7.2
Teleop27.9
End5.3
Second
8103
#23
24.20.8
13.414.2
Auto3.5
Teleop17.1
End3.6
red by 9.2
71
#38
15.01.9
16.618.5
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End1.5
Third
1529
#30
9.91.4
16.317.7
Auto2.6
Teleop6.5
End0.7
blue by 0.5
3559
#35
10.41.9
11.813.8
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned