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Red64
400817.2
518817.9
155515.6
Blue72
856417.7
501034.6
874222.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349202060801001201401606472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+2Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
10Coral scored#10
35Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
49Total teleop47
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
64Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5188
#33
17.92.3
17.019.3
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End1.3
blue by 16.7
5010
#18
34.60.7
33.332.5
Auto6.9
Teleop23.1
End4.6
Second
4008
#40
17.22.3
11.213.5
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End2.2
blue by 4.9
8742
#22
22.11.2
21.720.5
Auto4.6
Teleop13.9
End3.6
Third
1555
#28
15.61.4
9.110.5
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End2.7
blue by 2.0
8564
#12
17.71.2
23.021.7
Auto4.3
Teleop10.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsEarned