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Red53
29220.7
101821.8
427249.4
Blue36
945314.4
843115.5
458012.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions943502060801201401605336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+19Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +9
6Coral scored#5
23Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
33Total teleop24
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#2
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
53Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.42.9
36.733.8
Auto12.5
Teleop30.9
End6.0
red by 33.9
8431
#37
15.50.1
15.415.3
Auto3.7
Teleop10.9
End0.9
Second
1018
#17
21.82.9
13.911.0
Auto4.1
Teleop13.5
End4.2
red by 7.4
9453
#31
14.40.1
4.64.4
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End1.4
Third
292
#19
20.72.9
28.725.7
Auto4.6
Teleop12.9
End3.2
red by 7.9
4580
#34
12.80.2
18.217.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed