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Red33
498211.8
949121.5
548427.2
Blue73
745434.0
172023.7
174728.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70870204060801001201403373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+40
Endgame+46
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +36
4Coral scored#10
15Coral points37
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
15Total teleop51
Reef
1L4#4
2L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
6Foul points0
33Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.22.5
25.022.5
Auto5.9
Teleop21.1
End0.1
blue by 6.8
7454
#11
34.00.4
24.323.9
Auto7.5
Teleop20.2
End6.3
Second
9491
#14
21.54.2
23.919.7
Auto5.6
Teleop13.2
End2.7
blue by 7.2
1747
#13
28.70.4
31.931.5
Auto2.9
Teleop19.7
End6.0
Third
4982
#32
11.84.2
16.111.9
Auto1.8
Teleop8.1
End1.9
blue by 11.9
1720
#27
23.70.4
20.420.0
Auto3.9
Teleop16.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed