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Red108
348714.4
174153.7
217120.6
Blue41
649816.6
695621.6
719819.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions735202040608010012010841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+69Teleop
+67Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points13
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +59
18Coral scored#4
63Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
81Total teleop22
Reef
7L4#3
6L3#2
4L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
0Foul points0
108Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.73.5
35.138.7
Auto14.8
Teleop35.5
End3.3
red by 32.0
6956
#25
21.62.0
13.711.8
Auto2.0
Teleop16.5
End3.2
Second
2171
#26
20.62.1
12.714.8
Auto5.1
Teleop13.6
End1.8
red by 1.1
7198
#29
19.52.0
14.012.0
Auto2.2
Teleop12.8
End4.5
Third
3487
#36
14.43.5
16.219.8
Auto3.1
Teleop11.8
End-0.4
blue by 2.1
6498
#39
16.62.0
20.618.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed